Market Health Cockpit

Weekly monitoring for sealed products, singles, slabs, liquidity and scarcity pressure. Sample data only.

Imminent collapse indicator 3/5 Strained
Market Health Score
73.0
100 minus weighted market risk
A quick 0-100 read on market condition. Higher is better. It falls when premiums compress, listings build, sales weaken, singles fall away from sealed, or restocks undermine scarcity.
Market Risk Score
28.5
Weighted early warning risk
A 0-100 warning score. Higher means more stress. It combines price weakness, poor liquidity, slab pressure, restocks, volatility and undercutting.
Confidence Score
80.3
Freshness, volume, sources and consistency
How much we trust the signal. Fresh data, more sold listings, more sources and fewer gaps raise confidence. Low confidence means the dashboard softens strong warnings.
Hot Potato Index
32.2
Speculative fragility gauge
A 0-100 speculative fragility score. Higher means more people may be holding mainly because price went up, not because demand is deep.
Data status: Singles prices: 10 rows latest 2026-05-20. Sealed products: 0 rows.
Singles can be fetched from PokémonTCG.io. Sealed/liquidity needs CSV or marketplace credentials.

Market Stress Cluster

3+ warning signals
ItemSignals Risk Hot Potato Collapse
Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle
Prismatic Evolutions
 6 cluster
51.25
 68.5 Fragile 4/5

Scarcity Thesis

MSRP availability 5/14 checks
Restock frequency 4 in 30d
Premium compression -18.13%

Retail availability is improving while resale premium is compressing. Scarcity thesis may be weakening.

Market Health / Risk
Sealed Decoupling
Liquidity Map
Retail Premium Over MSRP

Top Products At Risk

ProductPremium Sell-through Risk Hot Potato
Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle
Prismatic Evolutions
 189.00% 0.163 51.25 Elevated risk 68.5 Fragile
Surging Sparks Booster Box
Surging Sparks
 32.28% 0.275 34.25 Normal risk 35 Warm
Twilight Masquerade Booster Box
Twilight Masquerade
 -8.10% 0.313 28.5 Normal risk 11 Normal
Scarlet & Violet 151 Booster Bundle
Scarlet & Violet 151
 120.09% 0.325 23.25 Normal risk 27 Warm
Prismatic Evolutions ETB
Prismatic Evolutions
 124.04% 0.346 19.5 Low risk 30.5 Warm

Red / Black Alerts

Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle Red

Why risky: Active listings are rising faster than sold listings. Liquidity may be weakening.

Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle Red

Why risky: Sealed price remains high while chase singles are falling. This may indicate speculative holding rather than organic opening demand.

Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle Red

Why risky: This modern reprintable product trades far above MSRP while retail availability is increasing.

Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle Red

Why risky: Lowest available listings are materially below recent median sold prices while supply is building.

Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle Red

Why risky: Sealed EV ratio is high, singles are weakening, and sealed price remains elevated.